English Version
20250813
Market News: Political, Economic, and Geopolitical Impacts
US: Economically, July inflation data aligned with expectations, boosting market confidence in potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, leading to record closing highs for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on August 12. 7 Politically, ongoing tariff threats from the US administration continue to weigh on sentiment, with companies like Caterpillar warning of potential impacts on industrial sectors. 25 Geopolitically, policy uncertainty and trade tensions with China persist, contributing to macroeconomic volatility. 14 Global goods trade saw an uptick early in 2025 due to importers frontloading purchases ahead of anticipated higher tariffs. 20
Europe: European stocks outperformed amid hopes for a Ukraine ceasefire, providing a geopolitical boost. 9 Economically, the region faces persistent policy uncertainty, but Q2 earnings have beaten expectations, supporting equity gains. 9 Greater China’s increased share of global IPO proceeds to one-third in H1 2025 indirectly influences European markets through trade links, though Europe’s IPO share has declined. 19
Japan (This Morning): Limited specific news, but USD/JPY strengthened slightly (+0.16%), reflecting economic pressures from a stronger dollar amid global rate cut expectations. 1 Geopolitically, Japan remains affected by US-China trade dynamics, with broader Asia markets opening higher tracking Wall Street gains. 16 Economic indicators show steady bond yields rising to 1.523% (+1.13%), signaling mild inflation concerns. 0
China (This Morning): Economically, China has dramatically increased its global IPO share, driving positive sentiment in regional markets. 19 Politically and geopolitically, US-China tariff truce talks face sticking points, with effective tariff rates on Canada (as a proxy for similar issues) appearing lower than headlines suggest, but still impacting trade. 12 16 Asia markets, including China, opened higher amid Fed rate cut hopes, though USD/CNY data was insufficient for precise tracking.
Key Earnings News and Sector Impacts
- Circle (Crypto/Tech): Reported higher revenue in its first earnings, boosting stock and positively impacting the fintech and crypto sectors amid broader digital asset gains. 22
- SoundHound AI (AI/Tech): Stock soared on strong results, driving AI sector performance with revenue guidance raised to $1.01-1.02B for 2025, exceeding estimates. 25
- Palantir (Tech): Shares popped, supporting tech sector amid Q2 earnings beating expectations overall for S&P 500. 25 26
- Pfizer (Healthcare): Beat estimates, lifting healthcare stocks like biotech ETFs. 25
- Caterpillar (Industrials): Warned of tariff impacts, pressuring industrial sector performance. 25
- Cisco Systems (Tech): Upcoming report on August 13 could influence networking and tech sectors. 30
- ExxonMobil (Energy): Q1 2025 earnings of $7.7B, stabilizing energy sector despite oil price dips. 28 Overall, Q2 earnings have been positive, with S&P 500 growth rates strong in tech and healthcare, while industrials face tariff headwinds. 26
Drivers of Future Markets, Verified Prices, and Changes
Verified from Investing.com and Yahoo Finance as of August 13, 2025 (futures reflect pre-market/after-hours; closes from August 12 where specified).
Indices: Driven by inflation-aligned data and rate cut bets (positive for US), Ukraine hopes (Europe), and trade frontloading (Asia). US futures mixed amid volatility; Europe positive on earnings.
- S&P 500 Futures: Close N/A, Current 6,444.10, Change -0.03% (High 6,449.90, Low 6,439.10). 3
- Nasdaq 100 Futures: Close N/A, Current 23,846.10, Change +0.03% (High 23,866.50, Low 23,822.00). 3
- Dow Jones Futures: Close N/A, Current 44,437.00, Change -0.05% (High 44,482.00, Low 44,408.00). 3
- FTSE 100 Futures: Close N/A, Current 9,164.10, Change -0.08% (High 9,173.60, Low 9,156.30). 3
- DAX Futures: Close N/A, Current 24,187.30, Change +0.31% (High 24,208.60, Low 24,159.30). 3
- CAC 40 Futures: Close N/A, Current 7,787.30, Change +0.94% (High 7,788.30, Low 7,720.50). 3
- Nikkei 225 Futures: Close N/A, Current 43,327.50, Change +0.05% (High 43,352.50, Low 43,020.00). 3
- China A50 Futures: Close N/A, Current 14,111.50, Change -0.02% (High 14,148.50, Low 14,060.00). 3
Bonds: Yields falling on rate cut expectations and geopolitical caution; US Treasuries down amid tariff fears.
- US 10Y: Prev. Close 4.308%, Current 4.287%, Change -0.49%. 0
- UK 10Y: Prev. Close 4.6270%, Current 4.6270%, Change +1.27%. 0
- Germany 10Y: Prev. Close 2.7440%, Current 2.7431%, Change +1.72%. 0
- Japan 10Y: Prev. Close 1.506%, Current 1.523%, Change +1.13%. 0
- China 10Y: Insufficient data.
Forex: Strong USD driven by tariff strength and rate differentials; JPY weakening on BOJ policy.
- EUR/USD: Bid 1.1686, Ask 1.1673, Change +0.11% (High 1.1688, Low 1.1669). 1
- GBP/USD: Bid 1.3505, Ask 1.3508, Change -0.02% (High 1.3508, Low 1.3493). 1
- USD/JPY: Bid 148.01, Ask 147.77, Change +0.16% (High 148.17, Low 147.70). 1
- USD/CNY: Insufficient data.
- AUD/USD: Bid 0.6529, Ask 0.6527, Change +0.03% (High 0.6533, Low 0.6516). 1
- USD/CHF: Bid 0.8065, Ask 0.8070, Change -0.06% (High 0.8072, Low 0.8060). 1
Commodities: Mixed on geopolitical risks (oil down on demand fears), gold up as safe-haven amid uncertainty.
- Gold: Close N/A, Current 3,402.85, Change +0.11%. 6
- Silver: Close N/A, Current 38.19, Change +0.49%. 6
- Brent Crude: Close N/A, Current 65.99, Change -0.20%. 6
- WTI Crude: Close N/A, Current 62.95, Change -0.35%. 6
- Natural Gas: Close N/A, Current 2.797, Change +0.43%. 6
- Copper: Close N/A, Current 4.509, Change -0.18%. 6
Crypto: Surging on tech earnings (e.g., Circle) and risk-on sentiment from rate cuts; ETH and SOL lead gains.
- Bitcoin: Current $119,620.7, 24h Change +0.14% (Market Cap $2.37T). 2
- Ethereum: Current $4,614.79, 24h Change +7.20% (Market Cap $553.44B). 2
- Ripple (XRP): Current $3.2291, 24h Change +1.34% (Market Cap $190.31B). 2
- Solana: Current $196.670, 24h Change +10.26% (Market Cap $104.61B). 2
- Cardano: Current $0.8412, 24h Change +6.91% (Market Cap $29.78B). 2
Thematic ETFs: Boosted by sector earnings (AI/tech positive, clean energy mixed on oil); innovation and biotech up on growth beats. (Data for August 12 close, as August 13 insufficient.)
- ARKK (Innovation): Prev. Close N/A, Current N/A (Insufficient for Aug 13; Aug 12 data unavailable). 4
- TAN (Clean Energy): Prev. Close 36.60, Current 36.88, Change +0.77%, Volume 331,033. 32
• • IBB (Biotech): Prev. Close 131.74, Current 134.00, Change +1.72%, Volume 1,937,175. 5
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