Skip to main content

The current market is short term rebound.Suitable for short term only. Run fast at high. Risky March

5 Feb 2009

US Market

The US Market open at 8070 and closed at 7956 –121.70 (-1.51%)
Sector performance (% change on day): Financials (-0.99%), Tech (+0.44%), Health Care (-0.93%), Consumer Staples (-2.61%), Consumer Discretionary (-2.52%), Industrials (-0.40%), Energy (+0.32%), Telecom (-2.85%), Materials (+1.52%), Utilities (+0.78%).

C Closed at 3.49 previous closed 3.46
BAC closed 4.7 previous closed 5.30
GE closed 11.26 previous closed 11.37
AAPL closed at 92.98

Before the Rate decision on ECB and BOA

The EUR move between 1.28 to 1.3066
The GBP move between 1.43678 to 1.45752, big movement within one day.
The Australia move between 0.65244 to 0.63521

At 4:47 pm
EUR 1.2839
GBP1.4413
AUD0.6469
JPY 89.51

The Treasury market

The Treasury notes dell as government said will auction 67 Billion in Notes, and bonds next week.
Feb 10 32 billion 3 years Notes
Feb 11 21 billion 10 years Notes
Feb 13 14 billion 30 years bonds

This may impact the USD performance in short term.

Japan Market

The Nikkei market opened at 7985 and closed at 7949.65 –89.29 (-1.11%) Once high at 8093.96 at 13:00pm

Fast retailing closed at 10,860 -310 (-2.77%)
UFJ closed at 477 -8 (1.64%) previous closed 485
Toyota closed 3040 high +30 (0.99%) previous closed 3010
Canon closed high at 2440 -80 (-3.17%) 2520

HK Market

The HS Index open at 13139 and closed at 13178 +115 (+0.88%) the turnover volume is 528 M previouse 364M. Big changes compare with yesterday

The 005 closed at 59.30 previous 59.15 +1.15 (+0.254%) turnover 21.24M previous is 13.435M , more than yesterday

3988 closed at 2.14 + 0.08 (3.883%) turnover 1271M previous is 796M
1398 closed at 3.49 +0.13 (3.869%) turnover 436M previous day is 207 M
More than double volume

ICBC has announced that by the end of 2008, the total assets scale of ICBC’s overseas business institutions has increased 15% comparing with same period in previous year. The international settlement and international trade financing of ICBC’s institutions domestically and overseas still showed rapidly increasing trend.

The business volume of the international settlement broke 750 billion US for first time, and domestic institutions reached 579.5 billion increased 37.44%

China market

The Shanghai Market stopped the 3 days continuous climbing with volume 1206 M previous day 1106M
Closed low at 2098 –9.73 –0.46%

The BOC RMB3.16 previous day RMB3.16 –0.63%
The ICBC RMB3.8 previous day RMB3.84 –1.04%

Release Reports

International –US Time
Thursday, February 5, 2009
4:30 a.m. UK: 4Q BoE UK residents deposits & lending analysis
5:00 a.m. ITA: Jan Cities CPI
5:00 a.m. ITA: Jan Provisional CPI
6:00 a.m. GER: Dec Mfg orders
7:00 a.m. UK: Feb BoE interest rate decision, Bank Rate Expected: 1% Previous: 1.5
7:45 a.m. EU: ECB interest rate decision announcement
8:30 a.m. CAN: Dec Building Permits Previous: -11.8%
10:00 a.m. CAN: Jan Ivey Purchasing Managers Index, Current Month Previous: 39.1
6:50 p.m. JPN: Jan Foreign Reserves (US dollars) Previous: 1.03T
6:50 p.m. JPN: Jan Provisional Trade Statistics for 1st 20 days of Month

US – US Time
Thursday, February 5, 2009
8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims For Jan 31 Week: Expected: +2K. Prevous: +3K.
8:30 a.m. 4Q Productivity: Expected: +1.5%. Previous: +1.3%.
8:30 a.m. 4Q Unit Labor Cost: Expected: +2.5%. Previous: +2.8%.
10:00 a.m. Dec Dec Factory Orders: Expected: -3.2%. Previous: -4.6%.
10:00 a.m. DJ-BTMU Business Barometer For Jan 23: Previous: -1.2%.



Comments

Unknown said…
從期權分析來看,
二月 好倉
三月 淡倉
四月 好倉

Popular posts from this blog

Tracing the trend of FXI

Yesterday, I said trading FXI in US Market. From the following data, you can find FXI is really a heavy trading vehicle of China Market in USD time. I like trading in US market because 1. there is high volume within a day. 2. Even you are an individual investor, you are able to share some sweet. There is still room for a small investor to buy in the first minute after market open. Not like HK market, when it is 10:00am, all the price has been pumped up, there is no room to trade as a small investor. To prove the fact, you can find the trading volume of FXI in previous days before China announce the interest rate cut. Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj Close* 26-Nov-08 24.93 27.36 24.91 27.23 62,942,800 27.23 25-Nov-08 25.33 25.33 24.07 24.41 45,223,900 24.41 24-Nov-08 24.29 25.83 24.08 24.93 55,766,800 24.93 Around dinner time, I asked my friend to try FXI and day trade only because the next day is Thanksgiving. Better not stay over night. If placed...

The game of wealth rotation is keep on running

With the help of the financial actors, the financial priates had started the wealth rotation game. The financial actors even said it is the starting of the bull market in the radio. It is so horrible. Is it the bull market happens in the recession. Look over the history. It is really hard to find this experience. I felt sad about it. The innocent housewife don't understand the detail and just believe what this actors said in the radio. Can this people do some charity? Today, China release the data that the China's exports fell for the first time in over seven years in November while imports dropped sharply, reflecting the severity of the slowdown in global trade. China's November exports dropped 2.2% from a year earlier to $114.99 billion,the first monthly decline since June 2001, Imports had risen 15.6% in October, and economists had expected growth of 12%in November. As every governor understand the difficulties in future and thus launched the stimulus investment plan. ...

Is it truth, the market will be better in all regions?

17 - 18 Dec 2008 Shanghai Index + 1.97% Close @2015.69, HS Index 15497.81 +0.24% 522M Turnover. EUR climb very fast 5:53 @1.4700 Weak Weak Dollar. The Global market seems has a invisable hand holding the market? I feel really interesting as more and more bad economy news is release but the market keep in high level. That's why economist and traders has different view in different time. Now the DOW future + 53 (8853) The HSBC 005 is has pressure and close at 81.60 -3.42%. Now only the China market is better. 2823 close at 9.35 +4.353 % in one day. 30 Years Anniversary? Take a rest and leave the market?