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The market keep on swinging but not much positive


From my prospective, if don't want to spend too much time . I would suggest to buy more oil ETF now and gradually buy more agriculture ETF.

Because 1. USD will be weaker after the US government had sold all its treasury bonds. The USD will be weak. US will maintain strong dollar now otherwise who will buy the bonds. When he finished, he need to pay interest. Then the best way is to depreciate its dollars. So beware the time to sell USD based on the treasury.


2. As USD weak, the oil price will be high. Everyone had seen this situation in 2008 years. Even the price go back to 50. Now 34. The increase will be 47% growth. Is it much better than buy any security.

3. The world is facing the draught in China and Emerging market. Now the people is just thinking about the existing economy. In future, we will face agricultural shortage. Then the basic food price will be high again.

Just suggest to aware the price of DBA and buy it when it is low. I will suggest to buy it in the current price first and buy more when the price drop.

We have to use the normal buying behaviour. We should buy thing when it is cheap and not when it is high. Good luck !

Daily Summary
13 Feb 2009

US Market

The US Market open at 7932 and closed at 7932 -6.77(-0.09%) How the market low at 3.09am at 7694.

Sector performance (% change on day): Financials (-1.31%), Tech (+0.59%), Health Care (+0.98%), Consumer Staples (+1.24%), Consumer Discretionary (+0.30%), Industrials (-1.10%), Energy (+0.07%), Telecom (-0.22%), Materials (+1.14%), Utilities (-0.92%).

C Closed at 3.61 previous closed 3.69
BAC closed 5.87 previous closed 6.07
GE closed 11.68 previous closed 11.94
AAPL closed 99.27 previous closed 96.82

There is not much report release today and 16 Feb 2009 Monday is holiday. No market
Forex

The EUR climb from last night low 1.27246 to 1.2939 in the morning 11:56am and 1.2915 at 4:30 pm

The GBP climb from last night high 1.41512 to afternoon high 1.44659 at 15:57 and at 4:30pm the quote is 1.4443

The AUD is in range trade, 0.66143 high last night to morning low 0.6431 and at 4:30pm , the quote is 0.66133

The JPY climb from last night low 89.84 to 4:30 high 91.39

On 16 Feb, Japan will release the industry production output
On 18 Feb, Japan rate decision will be announced
On 19 Feb , Japan bank target rate will be announced.

The Crude Oil March is 34.51 and April is 42.29
The Gold price is 938 at 4:38 pm

The 30 Y treasury yield 3.51 previous 3.45 and 10 Y yield 2.78 same as last day.
Based on the JPY and treasury, the investor is not so rise averse.

Japan Market
The Nikkei open at 7789 and closed at 7779 +74 (+0.96%)

UFJ closed at 472 previous 468
Fast Retailing closed at 11130 previous 10,900 +230 (+2.11%)
Canon closed at 2445 previous 2405 +40 (1.66%)
Toyota closed at 3050 previous same (0%)

HK Market
The HS Index open at 13262 and closed at 13554 +326 (+2.47%) the turnover volume is 361M previous 396M .

The 005 closed at 61 previous 58.5 (+4.274%) turnover 17.75M previous is 18.45M

The 3988 closed at 2.16 previous 2.11 -0.05 (+2.37%) turnover 342M previous is 505M

The 1398 closed at 3.57 previous 3.46 +0.11 (+3.179%) turnover 189M previous day is 230M

.
China market
The Shanghai Market opened at 2249 and closed at 2320 with high volume 1644M previous day 1421M

The BOC RMB3.37 previous day RMB3.26 +3.06%
The ICBC RMB3.97 previous day RMB3.87 +2.06%

Release Reports

International –US Time
Friday, February 13, 2009
2:00 a.m. GER: 4Q GDP, 1st release
2:45 a.m. FRA: 4Q Payroll employment, Temporary figures
2:50 a.m. FRA: 4Q GDP, prelim
4:00 a.m. ITA: 4Q GDP, prelim
5:00 a.m. EU: Q4 Flash Estimate GDP
8:30 a.m. CAN: Dec New Vehicle Sales Previous: -7%

US – US Time
Friday, February 13, 2009
10:00 a.m. Mid-Feb Reuters/U Mich Sentiment Index: Expected: 60.0. Previous: 61.9.

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