13 Jan 2008
US Market
The DOW open at 8602 and close at 8473.97 – 125.21( -1.46%) turnover volume is 273,548,059
The worst performance is Citigroup C close at 5.6 – 1.15 (-17.04%) , BAC also lost 1.56 (-12.01%) closed at 11.43
AA before earning release already tumble to 10.06 close -/0.75 (-6.94%)
AA Q4 earning $-0.28 missing estimates by $0.18
Both Crude Oil and Gold retreat on 12 Jan US time but NXY do not have much movement open at around 16.4 and close at 16.4, Once go up to 17.00
HK Market
The HS Index open at 13910.33 and rebound to 14118 and then rolling down
and close at 13668.00 with volume 472M
The HS Future close at 13569
5 close at 73 -0.75(-1.07%) with volume 12M, 1398 close at 3.41 –0.05 (1.445%) with 541 M
3988 close at 1.85 +0.01 (+0.543%) with volume 1,027M
The property sector is the worse – 3.05%
The finance sector is –1.72% start to stable
Shanghai Market
The Shanghai index open at 1880 and close at 1863 – 36.98 (-1.95%)
The 2600 in China is 6.44 – 3.74%
BOC is 2.92 close – 1.68%
ICBC is 3.48 close – 2.25%
The Japan market is hurt by the Sony Media report that it will make Y100Bn operating loss in March 2009/1/13
With both the high JPY price and the weak financial results, the Nikkei index
Lost 422 and close at 8413.
The 1321 lost 4.89% - 440 close at 8550.00
The fast retailing had little movement close at 12,650 –20 (-0.15%)
UFJ closed 526 – 35 (-6.23%)
Sumitomo Trust – 470 – 49(-9.44%)
Canon close 2905 – 225 (-7.18%)
Sony close 2000 – 195 (-8.88%)
The Dow future at 10: 32 am is 8472 + 28 Nasdaq is 1211.25 + 5.25, S&P 872 + 4.25%
Afternoon 2: 43 Dow future is 8462 + 18, Nasdaq is 1210 + 4 and S&P is 870 +2.75
At 4.57 pm Dow future is 8421 – 23, Nasdaq is 1203, -3 and S&P is 866.5 – 1.75
For Currency at 4:59pm
EUR 1.3245
JPY88.93
GBP1.4663
AUD 0.6700
Tonight the following reports will be released
US Market
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
7:45 a.m. ICSC Chain Store Sales Index For Jan 10: Previous: -1.4%.
8:30 a.m. Nov Budget Balance: Expected: -$52.0B. Previous: -$57.19B.
8:55 a.m. Redbook Retail Sales Index For Jan 10: Previous: -0.6%.
2:00 p.m. Dec Federal Budget Balance: Previous: -$164.4B.
5:00 p.m. ABC/Wash Post Consumer Conf For Jan 10: Previous: -49.
Nov Trade Balance – affect USD
Dec Federal Budget – affect USD
International Market
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
12:00 a.m. JPN: Dec Economy Watchers Survey result Previous: 21
12:00 a.m. UK: Dec European Monster Employment Index
4:00 a.m. EU: Dec Long-term interest rates statistics
4:30 a.m. UK: Nov DCLG House Price Index
4:30 a.m. UK: Nov Global Goods Trade Balance (Adjusted) Expected: -7.5B Previous: -7.8B
4:30 a.m. UK: Nov Non-EU Trade Balance (Adjusted) Expected: -4.2B Previous: -4.4B
8:30 a.m. CAN: Nov Intl Merchandise Trade - C$ Trade Balance Previous: 3.78B
On 15 Jan there is Rate decision on EUR. The market will lower EUR before the rate decision before it rebound after decision confirmed.
Obrama is Inauguration on 20 th Jan but 19 th is Martin Luther King holiday.
The day on 14 – 16 got a lot of important economic reports. It will be very difficult to do positive if the focus draw back to bad economic data.
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
7:00 a.m. MBA Mortgage Application Survey: Previous: -12.3%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Retail Sales: Expected: -1.2%. Previous: -1.8%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Retail Sales, ex-autos: Expected: -1.5%. Previous: -1.6%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Import Prices: Previous: -6.7%.
10:00 a.m. Nov Business Inventories: Expected: -0.4%. Previous: -0.6%.
10:30 a.m. US Energy Dept Oil Inventories
10:30 a.m. API Oil Industry Report
2:00 p.m. Federal Reserve Beige Book
Thursday, January 15, 2009
8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims For Jan 10 Week: Expected: +28K. Previous: -24K.
8:30 a.m. Dec Producer Price Index: Expected: -1.8%. Previous: -2.2%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Producer Price Index,ex-food & energy: Expected: +0.1%. Previous: +0.1%.
8:30 a.m. Jan Empire State Fed Manufacturing Survey: Expected: -26. Previous: -25.76.
9:00 a.m. Nov Tsy International Capital: Previous: -$13.3B.
10:00 a.m. Jan Philadelphia Fed Business Index: Expected: -36. Previous: -36.1.
10:00 a.m. DJ-BTMU Business Barometer For Jan 2: Previous: -1.6%.
10:30 a.m. EIA Natl Gas Inventories
Friday, January 16, 2009
8:30 a.m. Dec Consumer Price Index: Expected: -1.0%. Previous: -1.7%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Consumer Price Index, ex-food energy: Expected: +0.1%. Previous: +0.1%.
9:15 a.m. Dec Industrial Production: Expected: -1.5%. Previous: -0.6%.
9:15 a.m. Dec Capacity Utiliztion: Expected: 74.6%. Previous: 75.4%.
10:00 a.m. Mid-Jan Reuters/U Mich Sentiment Index: Expected: 57. Previous: 59.1.
For Oil , it is 36.51 at 5:13pm, since on Wednesday 15 Jan 10:30 a.m. US Energy Dept Oil Inventories will be release.
The trader may push down further today to wait for the result. Besides on 21 Jan is the settlement on Oil, it may be further down like Dec 2008 and then rebound after 21 Jan 2009-01-13 future settlement.
For US Market
To see negative side of the market, there is ETF to put DOW double short( DXD) double short Financial – (SKF), and double short S&P – (SDS)
US Market
The DOW open at 8602 and close at 8473.97 – 125.21( -1.46%) turnover volume is 273,548,059
The worst performance is Citigroup C close at 5.6 – 1.15 (-17.04%) , BAC also lost 1.56 (-12.01%) closed at 11.43
AA before earning release already tumble to 10.06 close -/0.75 (-6.94%)
AA Q4 earning $-0.28 missing estimates by $0.18
Both Crude Oil and Gold retreat on 12 Jan US time but NXY do not have much movement open at around 16.4 and close at 16.4, Once go up to 17.00
HK Market
The HS Index open at 13910.33 and rebound to 14118 and then rolling down
and close at 13668.00 with volume 472M
The HS Future close at 13569
5 close at 73 -0.75(-1.07%) with volume 12M, 1398 close at 3.41 –0.05 (1.445%) with 541 M
3988 close at 1.85 +0.01 (+0.543%) with volume 1,027M
The property sector is the worse – 3.05%
The finance sector is –1.72% start to stable
Shanghai Market
The Shanghai index open at 1880 and close at 1863 – 36.98 (-1.95%)
The 2600 in China is 6.44 – 3.74%
BOC is 2.92 close – 1.68%
ICBC is 3.48 close – 2.25%
The Japan market is hurt by the Sony Media report that it will make Y100Bn operating loss in March 2009/1/13
With both the high JPY price and the weak financial results, the Nikkei index
Lost 422 and close at 8413.
The 1321 lost 4.89% - 440 close at 8550.00
The fast retailing had little movement close at 12,650 –20 (-0.15%)
UFJ closed 526 – 35 (-6.23%)
Sumitomo Trust – 470 – 49(-9.44%)
Canon close 2905 – 225 (-7.18%)
Sony close 2000 – 195 (-8.88%)
The Dow future at 10: 32 am is 8472 + 28 Nasdaq is 1211.25 + 5.25, S&P 872 + 4.25%
Afternoon 2: 43 Dow future is 8462 + 18, Nasdaq is 1210 + 4 and S&P is 870 +2.75
At 4.57 pm Dow future is 8421 – 23, Nasdaq is 1203, -3 and S&P is 866.5 – 1.75
For Currency at 4:59pm
EUR 1.3245
JPY88.93
GBP1.4663
AUD 0.6700
Tonight the following reports will be released
US Market
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
7:45 a.m. ICSC Chain Store Sales Index For Jan 10: Previous: -1.4%.
8:30 a.m. Nov Budget Balance: Expected: -$52.0B. Previous: -$57.19B.
8:55 a.m. Redbook Retail Sales Index For Jan 10: Previous: -0.6%.
2:00 p.m. Dec Federal Budget Balance: Previous: -$164.4B.
5:00 p.m. ABC/Wash Post Consumer Conf For Jan 10: Previous: -49.
Nov Trade Balance – affect USD
Dec Federal Budget – affect USD
International Market
Tuesday, January 13, 2009
12:00 a.m. JPN: Dec Economy Watchers Survey result Previous: 21
12:00 a.m. UK: Dec European Monster Employment Index
4:00 a.m. EU: Dec Long-term interest rates statistics
4:30 a.m. UK: Nov DCLG House Price Index
4:30 a.m. UK: Nov Global Goods Trade Balance (Adjusted) Expected: -7.5B Previous: -7.8B
4:30 a.m. UK: Nov Non-EU Trade Balance (Adjusted) Expected: -4.2B Previous: -4.4B
8:30 a.m. CAN: Nov Intl Merchandise Trade - C$ Trade Balance Previous: 3.78B
On 15 Jan there is Rate decision on EUR. The market will lower EUR before the rate decision before it rebound after decision confirmed.
Obrama is Inauguration on 20 th Jan but 19 th is Martin Luther King holiday.
The day on 14 – 16 got a lot of important economic reports. It will be very difficult to do positive if the focus draw back to bad economic data.
Wednesday, January 14, 2009
7:00 a.m. MBA Mortgage Application Survey: Previous: -12.3%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Retail Sales: Expected: -1.2%. Previous: -1.8%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Retail Sales, ex-autos: Expected: -1.5%. Previous: -1.6%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Import Prices: Previous: -6.7%.
10:00 a.m. Nov Business Inventories: Expected: -0.4%. Previous: -0.6%.
10:30 a.m. US Energy Dept Oil Inventories
10:30 a.m. API Oil Industry Report
2:00 p.m. Federal Reserve Beige Book
Thursday, January 15, 2009
8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims For Jan 10 Week: Expected: +28K. Previous: -24K.
8:30 a.m. Dec Producer Price Index: Expected: -1.8%. Previous: -2.2%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Producer Price Index,ex-food & energy: Expected: +0.1%. Previous: +0.1%.
8:30 a.m. Jan Empire State Fed Manufacturing Survey: Expected: -26. Previous: -25.76.
9:00 a.m. Nov Tsy International Capital: Previous: -$13.3B.
10:00 a.m. Jan Philadelphia Fed Business Index: Expected: -36. Previous: -36.1.
10:00 a.m. DJ-BTMU Business Barometer For Jan 2: Previous: -1.6%.
10:30 a.m. EIA Natl Gas Inventories
Friday, January 16, 2009
8:30 a.m. Dec Consumer Price Index: Expected: -1.0%. Previous: -1.7%.
8:30 a.m. Dec Consumer Price Index, ex-food energy: Expected: +0.1%. Previous: +0.1%.
9:15 a.m. Dec Industrial Production: Expected: -1.5%. Previous: -0.6%.
9:15 a.m. Dec Capacity Utiliztion: Expected: 74.6%. Previous: 75.4%.
10:00 a.m. Mid-Jan Reuters/U Mich Sentiment Index: Expected: 57. Previous: 59.1.
For Oil , it is 36.51 at 5:13pm, since on Wednesday 15 Jan 10:30 a.m. US Energy Dept Oil Inventories will be release.
The trader may push down further today to wait for the result. Besides on 21 Jan is the settlement on Oil, it may be further down like Dec 2008 and then rebound after 21 Jan 2009-01-13 future settlement.
For US Market
To see negative side of the market, there is ETF to put DOW double short( DXD) double short Financial – (SKF), and double short S&P – (SDS)
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