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Aware ! Short Term USD may be weak







10- 11 Dec 2008






The Pirate keep on maintain the stage. HSBC close at London 765 is around 87.xx However in the morning, it open only 85.5 and keep on manipulate it till 87.25 close. They use it to play around the HS index. Aware the performance of the China Mobile and HSBC.

HSINDEX 15613.9 +36 (+0.23%) Future 15518 -102 under 96
Based on the Index chart. The uptrend will not last too long. Keep on reducing the quantities is better.

For US, the VIX seems find the bottom, Better buy some short ETF tonight. The Automobile bailout will not be the support for up trend.

Dow future - 30 8682 at5.55pm HK Time

Remember some figures will come out tonight

US Market
8:30 a.m. Initial Jobless Claims For Dec 6 Week: Expected: +11K. Previous: -21K

8:30 a.m. Oct Trade Balance: Expected:52.5B. Previous: 56.47B
8:30 a.m. Nov Import Prices: Previous: -4.7%
10:00 a.m. DJ-BTMU Business Barometer For Nov 29: Previous: +0.3%

Aware the USD. According the USD index. The trend seems not so good. The EUR has climbed up further. In short term, I believe USD may not in good shape

EUR open around 1.3000 current 1.3121
GBP open around 1.4770 current 1.4922

If you are pro EUR, check the Currency ETF, (ULE) for EUR, I haven't study in detail. Better check the volume and performance

In US the Retailer business will get worse after christmas day sale announcement. Sell it in advance. Short Consumer Goods (SZK).

Comments

Anonymous said…
Thanks for the analysis.
Since I only have a little ICBC on hand, it doesn't matter if I sell them all or not.
In fact, I'm still waiting for a big drop.
December 11, 2008 at 7:15 PM
Unknown said…
Oil and Gold bounce too much today.
December 12, 2008 at 1:17 AM
Unknown said…
2009年投資要注意的事項：

﹣2009年度 6833.05億股的大小非解禁量，較2008年度1245.97億股多很多。

﹣中國內銀股都持有美國Alt-A樓按債劵，明年如Ａlt-A爆破，內銀股就要有撥備。
December 15, 2008 at 1:27 AM
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