Wealth management for a general person

One month has passed. The market is pointing downward as expected. The Dow dip the most on Friday and VIX jumped from 16 - 20 in single day. Reviewing the chart and the Cairo problem, I assume the market would have some adjustment. Feb HSI figure seems be on downward size more than upward size. I believe Feb is the best time for buy in 2011 year. The dollar index is 78.14 and RSI is 38.09 and it should be the time for rebound. The Gold rebound to 1335 from 1310 because of the conflict in Eqypt. The HSI momentum has reduced ahead of Chinese New Year. The dimension of Feb will be clear after Chinese New Year holiday. Based on the review on the above data, I intend to do some hedging on USD equity by buying some DXD. the ultra double short of Dow

Review the 2010 investment result, the growth has came after Aug, when QE2 announced. Most of the commodity is rocket climbing. However according to the history of 1930, after the depression, the commodity will start a very long time of uptrend. The economy is not on right track on both US and Europe. However the emerging market became the focus for the global investment. Based on the review of the history and the money supply. I still believe, the biggest return will come from commodity: GOLD, SILVER, Food etc. The reason are 1. High inflation 2. Right now, the US and EU economy is not on track but the inflation is on uptrend and it is hard to control. When the US and EU economy will come better, the demand of industry commodity should be increase. Thus, that come the real growth of commodity 3. China government can control its own economy and equity international. However commodity market is a global investment vehicle. The ownership of the commodity is both political and economic...

The Chinese inflation rate is about 5%, more than people expected, the government just increased the banking reserve fund but not the interest rate. Most people said 2011 will be more difficult than 2010, I totally agreed. Thus I have to be more cautious and review weekly. As watching the 2011 HK economy programs, i start to evaluate the equity which will grow with Hong Kong and China. This week, I had filtered few sportware companies in normal data screening Code PE CR QR GP NP ROA ROE Receivable Days 1968 14.53 8 7.7 23.1 20.3 18.47 20.92 89 1361 13.48 3.9 3.28 24.28 21.16 20.08 26.99 78 1368 20.24 5.3 4.92 19.78 18.26 17.78 21.69 53 2020 26.88 5.6 5.1 23 21 20.49 24.62 16.98 Reviewing all those figure the best seems is 2020 , however, we still need to study further For the Study of the HSI Index and Option I ...

The Ireland bailout issue had been relaxed and the US Market is going up even the data report is not so positive. Both the VIX and Dollar index is going to adverse order. As Dec is the holiday month. Based on the data , I believe it will be quite steady on positive trend till Year end. For HK market, after study the index option, it seems on the uptrend as well. Dec 25000 C 18726 23000 P 7965 26000 C 20707 22000 P 7053 24000 C 8382 21400 P4429 Jan 26000 C 2252 22600 P 2115 23400 C 813 22000 P2082 25200 C775 23600 P1259 March 24000 C 2571 21000 P2796 HK Dollar 2010/11/26 7.7634 2010/12/03 7.76431 Based on the dollar quote, i think the fund is still flowing in HK.

2010 Nov 29 This is the Sunday after Thanksgiving. South Korea is preparing the military demonstration. The US army is joining the force too. It will be the excuse for the speculator to manipulate the market swing. Based on the review of the HSI Option and the temporary finalize of Ireland debt and year end is coming. There is no strictly upside or downside. However based on last week data, I had done on call side. This time I related too strong on the data but if i am wrong it would be a swan case. The Dollars index is 80.36 and RSI 67.35 it is much higher than last week. As the Korea military conflict and the Ireland and EU country problem. I think it will go further till it reach over 80. The VIX is at 22.22 and RSI is 57. One week ago. The VIX is 18. The HSI index is 22877 and RSI is 39.6 . As data inform the bull warrant has 500 Millon at 22800. Thus on Friday it reached at 22800. The Dow index is 11092 and rsi is at 49.69. Hang Seng Index Opt...

After long time working on other stuff. It is time to concentrate more on the portfolio management. The hyper inflation time is coming. What we can do is healthy manage our time on market study. Today I resume the index study. it is one of lighthouse of the market 2010/11/19 HSI Index status Hang Seng Index Option IV % 19-21 10 Nov : Highest Call Volume 5525@24000, 5220@25000, 4510 @24200 Highest Put Volume 5874@22000, 3989@22600, 3855@23000 Since there is only 5-6 days for Nov settlement, I guess the HSI index range would be around 22000 to 25000. 10 Dec : Highest Call Volume 16570@25000, 11680@26000, 9280 @23000 Highest Put Volume 6895@23000,6175@20000, 4734@23200 Based on this data, I guess the Dec market will be on upside more than down side 11 Jan : Highest Call Volume 1589@26000 Highest Put Volume 1282@22000 11 March : Highest Call Volume 2221@26000 Highest Put Volume ...