First Thank you for all your support.
As all we know we are in the stage of recession and it is only in the beginning stage. Looking back in the USD Market, just two days the Dow has dropped from 8400 to 7552 (-10%). This is the biggest drop in Nov in US history. The whole world seems losing all the confidence? For me, I think actually it is just the tactic of the traders or I would name them "pirates of financial market". If not, why there is wave in the market. If all the people lost confidence, that means no people in the market, no trading and the price should be in downside only. Why there will be up and down?
So I think even though it is in recession, if we know where we are, you still have the chance to win the interest more than deposit. Because we can choose to fight with the Private.
Now the only positive market is China. Among all the country in the world, only China will have a postive GBP figure. But does it mean we have to invest in China market?
As I think, what we are facing now is systematic risk. Do you think China can lead the whole world back to normal within two weeks after it annouce the 400 Billions to bloster the internal economy. The emerging of China is because of cheap manufacturing for global markets. It is not because of its farming, the local property sales and the service charges of the railway or highway gain. If there is no demand of export of low price good quality products, what is the use of the railway and highway?
Now the labours charge and job stablility in south eastern part of China are always facing pressure. The labours do not have money bringing back to their northern home and not talking about some of them will lost their job. Then where is the money can blosters the internal consumers sales and services market?????
Now the market is just the traders' game, they can use their excuse to get the small investors' money.
For the case of today's market, in the morning of HK time, the DOW future is +80, the HK index Future started at 11880 and is lowest is only 11850. That means traders are already position in positive site. From my observation, the traders now is trading ahead of US market and following the DOW Future. Thus at noon when DOW is +168, HK market has already up 553 points.
Thus I said, we have to know from Marco view, where are we and whether you are a risk taker. Looking for gambling trade or wait for long term investment time?
As all we know we are in the stage of recession and it is only in the beginning stage. Looking back in the USD Market, just two days the Dow has dropped from 8400 to 7552 (-10%). This is the biggest drop in Nov in US history. The whole world seems losing all the confidence? For me, I think actually it is just the tactic of the traders or I would name them "pirates of financial market". If not, why there is wave in the market. If all the people lost confidence, that means no people in the market, no trading and the price should be in downside only. Why there will be up and down?
So I think even though it is in recession, if we know where we are, you still have the chance to win the interest more than deposit. Because we can choose to fight with the Private.
Now the only positive market is China. Among all the country in the world, only China will have a postive GBP figure. But does it mean we have to invest in China market?
As I think, what we are facing now is systematic risk. Do you think China can lead the whole world back to normal within two weeks after it annouce the 400 Billions to bloster the internal economy. The emerging of China is because of cheap manufacturing for global markets. It is not because of its farming, the local property sales and the service charges of the railway or highway gain. If there is no demand of export of low price good quality products, what is the use of the railway and highway?
Now the labours charge and job stablility in south eastern part of China are always facing pressure. The labours do not have money bringing back to their northern home and not talking about some of them will lost their job. Then where is the money can blosters the internal consumers sales and services market?????
Now the market is just the traders' game, they can use their excuse to get the small investors' money.
For the case of today's market, in the morning of HK time, the DOW future is +80, the HK index Future started at 11880 and is lowest is only 11850. That means traders are already position in positive site. From my observation, the traders now is trading ahead of US market and following the DOW Future. Thus at noon when DOW is +168, HK market has already up 553 points.
Thus I said, we have to know from Marco view, where are we and whether you are a risk taker. Looking for gambling trade or wait for long term investment time?
Comments
About HK properties, I still think that it is not that flexible as compares with stocks, and you have to carefully select tennants, not to mention that you have to take care of its maintenance and pay misc expenses such as management fee and Government Rates, etc.
As you advised earlier, I plan to gather some stocks bit by bit next year after March if the atmosphere permits. That's why I start to look for stocks with: 1. steady business wether it is Bull or Bear Market; 2. sufficient cash flow; 3. high interest; 4. capable managment.
Any good suggestion?
1. It is difficult to have steady business both in bull and bear market, if the stock is still steady, usually it will not be a growth stock. 2. Sufficient cash flow is important, however too much cash without fully utilized also cannot enhance growth. So it has to see how it use the money, 3. High interest, growth product usually do not have dividend, e.g APPL, no dividend, only the mature and steady company have dividend. 4. Capable Management, this is sure, but sometimes it is hard to tell for new company especially in HK and China market. The information is not so visable.
SPARKLE