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The market seems going quite well however, the



market phenomenom seems telling us that there are some adjustment soon. Why? The US VIX start moving up, the Dow show the difficulties reaching the 8200 level. The 941 is start moving in HK Market. Usually the 941 moving up is the final round of the market high because the other security has reached their level. Besides, the HS index is already moving to 15682 almost 16000
I believe the safe stop to hedge is at 16000.

In these two days , the HK Equity market is manage by the big investor, the movement is not really logical. As they know more money is betting on the bear side, they play the bull side fast. As we all know that it is zero gain sum. I believe, they had gain a lot, as most of the bear people feel hopeless. The real bear is coming. This is only my own opinion. Welcome for any comment

15 April 2009

US Market

The Dow index open 8057 and close at 7920 and high is 8027 at 10:45 pm -137 (-1.71%)
Sector performance (% change on day): Financials (-7.68%), Tech (-0.89%), Health Care (-0.26%), Consumer Staples (-1.33%), Consumer Discretionary (-2.23%), Industrials (-1.73%), Energy (-0.60%), Telecom (-2.45%), Materials (-2.14%), and Utilities (-1.36%).

Dow -137.63 at 7920.18, Nasdaq -27.59 at 1625.72, S&P -17.23 at 841.50

AAPL 118.31 ,AIG 1.52 GE 11.51, SBUX 11.87, INTC 16.01,BAC 10.09,CSCO 17.93,C 4.01 NXY 19.27,SU 25.16

The EUR trade at 1.3247 at 5:36 pm.
The GBP trade at 1.4922 at 5:36 pm
The CAD trade at 1.2163 at 5:36 pm
The JPY 99.03 at 5.36 pm
The Gold price is 892.8 at 5:36 pm
The Crude Oil is 50.15 at 5.36pm

The Dow future is at trading from -40 in the morning to afternoon –50 and then +9 at 5:37pm.

The VIX is closed at 37.67 last night and 36.53 is the current low. Based on the technical chart analysis, double bottom has set up. Dow current April high is 8113 and close at 7920 at 14 April. If Dow cannot reach over 8113, it may be the signal of weak market trend based on the data on both VIX and the Dow chart

The market is running mix based on the currency-trading figure and the oil price.

The market data release today will impact the market direction. Such as consumer price index, housing index, oil inventory and beige book

Japan Market

The Nikkei index open at 8777 and close at 8742 –99.72(-1.13%)
Fast Retailing 10,340 +290(+2.88%)
UFJ 521 -16 (-2.97%)
Toyota 3800 0(- %)
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial 2985 -75 (-2.45%)

HK Market
The HS Index open at 15344 and close at 15669 +89(+0.57%), April Future is 15682 the turnover volume is 662M Previous 754M
The 005 open at 54.1 and close at 55. with volume 42M previous 95M
The 3988 open at 2.91 and close at 2.92 with turnover 679M and previous 1043M
The 1398 open at 4.46 and close at 4.45 with turnover 348M and previous 575M


HSBA.L trading high in London +0.21% at 482 P @5:43PM HK Time
Hang Seng Index 15669.62 +89.46 +0.57%
HSI - Finance 23038.52 -102.66 -0.44%
HSI - Utilities 35662.96 -22.97 -0.06%
HSI - Properties 20150.81 -69.18 -0.34%
HSI - Commerce & Industry 8562.49 +201.28 +2.41%
Hang Seng China Enterprises Index 9305.46 +90.55 +0.98%
Hang Seng China H-Financials Index 12301.13 -17.45 -0.14%
Hang Seng Composite Index 2170.17 +26.41 +1.23%
Last update: 15-04-2009 16:01
Hang Seng China 50 Index 5111.77 +36.26 +0.71%
Hang Seng China AH Premium Index 134.65 -1.70 -1.25%
China market

The Shanghai Index open at 2514 and close at 2536 with volume 1743M and previous 1619 M
BOC close at RMB3.54
ICBC close at RMB4.12

Release Reports

International

Wednesday, April 15, 2009
2:00 a.m. GER: Mar WPI
2:00 a.m. JPN: Mar Machine Tool Orders, revised On Year Previous: -84.4%
4:30 a.m. UK: Feb DCLG House Price Index
8:30 a.m. CAN: Feb New Vehicle Sales Previous: +5.5%
7:01 p.m. UK: Mar BRC-KPMG Retail Sales Monitor

US Market
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
7:00 a.m. Mortgage Application Refinance Index: Previous: +3.2%.
8:30 a.m. Mar Consumer Price Index: Expected: -0.1%. Previous: +0.4%.
8:30 a.m. Mar Consumer Price Index, ex-food energy: Expected: +0.1%. Previous: +0.2%.
8:30 a.m. Apr Empire State Fed Manufacturing Survey: Expected: -35.5. Previous: -38.23.
9:00 a.m. Feb Tsy International Capital: Previous: -$60.9B.
9:15 a.m. Mar Industrial Production: Expected: -0.9%. Previous: -1.5%.
9:15 a.m. Mar Capacity Utilization: Expected: 69.6%. Previous: 70.2%.
10:30 a.m. U.S. Energy Dept Oil Inventories For Apr 10
1:00 p.m. Apr NAHB Housing Index: Previous: 9.
2:00 p.m. Federal Reserve Beige Book

Earning report : 17/4 GE, 22/4 APPLE, 29/4 Starbuck,
28/4 NXY

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